Sitemap - 2023 - Public Team Larry (Staff Analyst Team)

12.22.23: Buy and Hold Outperformed Everything in 2023

12.20.23: Fed Cuts Generally Precedes Large Market Drawdowns

12.18.23: 40% of Student Loan Borrowers Missed their First Payment

12.13.23: Fed Expected to Continue Rate PAUSE for Third Straight Meeting

12.11.23: Corporate Earnings Expected to Decline in Q4

12.9.23: US adds 199,000 Jobs in November as Unemployment Falls

12.6.23: 125 bps of Rate CUTS Expected in 2024

12.4.23: S&P 500 Sees Seasonal Strength in the month of December

12.1.23: Q3 GDP Revised To 2-Year High

11.27.23: Student Loan Payment Has Little Effect on Spending??

11.22.23: Long-term inflation expectations highest since 2011

11.20.23: Nasdaq 100 Hits Highest in Nearly Two Years

11.17.23: Major level of resistance for S&P sits at 4,500

11.15.23: Biden and Xi Strike Deals on Military Communications, AI, Fentanyl

11.13.23: Number of Bulls Jump by Most since 2009

11.11.23: Inflation Expectations Rise to Highest since 2011

11.8.23: Mortgage Rates Fall by Most in Over a Year

11.6.23: Futures markets pricing in more than 100 bps of rate cuts by end of 2024

11.3.23: Labor Market Continues to Cool Down

11.1.23: Job Openings Climb as Companies Add Fewer Hires…

10.30.23: Stocks Headed for Longest Losing Streak Since March 2020

10.27.23: 2/3rd of the S&P 500 Trading Below the 200-day MA

10.25.23: Markets Slide as Google Misses on Cloud Earnings

10.23.23: Corporate Earnings Coming Above Estimates as Misses Underperform by Most in 4 Years

10.20.23: S&P 500 and Oil slides as Markets digest Powell's speech

10.18.23: Stocks slip as Wall St concerns about US debt grows

10.16.23: Earnings season starts off positively as most surpass expectations

10.13.23: Wall Street on Edge Amid Geopolitical Angst

10.11.23: Fed minutes imply no rate hike in November

10.9.23: Oil prices spike as Hamas surprise attacks Israel

10.6.23: Investors brush off tight labor market and focus on upcoming inflation data

10.4.23: Wall St. optimistic about corporate profits yet Market in 'Extreme Fear'

10.2.23: Government shutdown avoided as markets shift back to inflation battle

9.29.23: Fed President says rates should higher for longer

9.25.23: Stocks rise and Bonds fall as Market digests Fed Talk

9.22.23: Fed officials see more hikes possible as inflation persists

9.20.23: Fed expected to pause rate hikes today

9.18.23: Fed Expected to Keep Rates on Hold this Week

9.15.23: IPO Market Has Reopened Following Arm's Massive NASDAQ Debut

9.13.23: Yields stay high after Inflation report as a higher for longer monetary policy is likely

9.11.23: Markets shrug off higher yields and macro worries ahead of incoming CPI data. Will that turn out to be wise?

9.8.23: We are now 12.5% the way through difficult seasonality within the 8 Weeks that mark September-October

9.5.23: Increased supply in the Treasury market lifts the 10Y Yield, constraining broader markets

9.1.23: Welcome to September, one of the trickiest months for Investors throughout the year

8.28.23: Market Stabilization continues as Big Players push back on the Rates narrative of "Higher for Longer"

8.25.23: No surprises from Jackson Hole ends up stabilizing sentiment for U.S. Stocks

8.23.23: Strong NVDA Earnings likely continues the recovery rally party into Thursday Aug 24th

8.21.23: Tech stages the comeback I was looking for from last week. Will it last?

8.19.23: Markets end another challenging week for Tech. Better days ahead?

8.14.23: Tech bounce back puts a pause on 2 Weeks of Nasdaq Selling

8.11.23: Technology continues to remain under pressure on the confluence of Rates, Valuation, and Re-Accelerating CPI

8.7.23: Stocks shrug off Apple's earnings and gear up for Inflation Data later this week

8.4.23: Apple earnings test Investors' nerves as their business finally admits a fundamental slowdown

7.31.23: Stocks close out another winning month, adding heat to Bearish speculators who remain in short positions. Will Bears ever be vindicated?

7.28.23: Tech Stocks continue to be lead by strong Semicap Equipment performance Applied Materials and Lam Research

7.26.23: Firm Fundamentals in Big Tech continue to support the market

7.24.23: One of the most important Fundamental and Macro driven weeks of the year has arrived

7.21.23: The Street is now very focused on Margins and Growth this Earnings Season

7.19.23: Earnings Season will stress test the market's current valuation levels

7.17.23: Fund Managers position themselves for a "less bad than feared" Earnings Season. Will they be right?

7.14.23: Markets continue to experience sector rotation with Financials now leading the leg higher

7.12.23: Markets pressure Bears to capitulate as we break multi-week resistance on upside as Inflation decelerates down to 3%

7.10.23: Markets continue consolidating ahead of key macro inflation data released on Wednesday

7.7.23: Market participants reduce risk ahead of next week's Inflation Data

7.6.23: Markets enter an environment where too "hot" economic data is now interpreted as further Hawkish action by the Fed

6.30.23: Bulls have seized the U.S. Market Narrative in 1H 2023. What happens next?

6.28.23: U.S Markets get ready to wrap up an exceptionally strong first half of the year this week

6.26.23: A Rollover Formation Has Taken Hold among FAAMG Stocks

6.24.23: Sector and Company-Specific Rotation starts to take hold in the Market as Investors Start Being More Selective

6.21.23: Jerome continues his hawkish talk to convince markets to fully price out Rate Cuts

6.16.23: The Market Rally Frenzy slightly pauses after a gigantic week in tech outperformance

6.15.23: Markets enter a Frenzy and Mania after June FOMC

6.12.23: Markets Continue To Accelerate Its Strength Ahead of June FOMC

6.9.23: Markets Reach 2023's Highest Levels Ahead of June FOMC

6.7.23: Markets Pullback In A Healthy Fashion Ahead of June FOMC Next Week

6.5.23: Stocks Wobble After Apple's New Mixed Reality Product Launch

5.26.23: We Have Entered A New Market Paradigm Due To A.I. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)

5.24.23: NVDA Earnings Keep Bulls In Charge For Another Day

5.22.23: If Bulls can keep holding the market at the upper end of the range, the next leg lower may only be a correction rather than a mega selloff.

5.19.23: Stocks soar to levels not seen since the beginning stages of 2022 Selloff.

5.17.23: Initial Enthusiasm over Debt Ceiling has sidelined Bears. Will the powerful rally continue?

5.15.23: A Debt Ceiling Resolution can continue to sideline Bears. Failure to do so will have deep consequences.

5.12.23: The Compressed Market Range Will Soon Expand - Could Be As Soon As Next Week

5.10.23: Vicious Intraday CPI Chop means that range expansion could start to take place in coming days

5.8.23: May 9th is the Debt Ceiling discussion between Biden and McCarthy

5.5.23: Apple Delivers A Blow To Bears. But Bears are not yet quite finished.

5.3.23: Traps Are Starting To Activate Against Late Bulls

5.1.23: Can Bulls survive this week's Big Test?

4.28.23: The Thematic Saying of "Sell in May and Go Away" begins Next Week. Opportunities Await.

4.26.23: Big Tech Continues to Impress the Street. China awaits the next catalyst.

4.24.23: Buy The Dip Apparently Never Fails! But is any Pattern going to last indefinitely?

4.21.23: Bulls tell Bears one clear simple message - "Tesla Disappointment Won't Stop Us. Not Yet."

4.20.23: Tesla was a Stumbling Block for Market Bulls, but Bears have not yet decisively taken over (yet)

4.17.23: Every Single Intraday Dip Has Been Bought, sending VIX to the 16 Region ahead of Critical Earnings

4.14.23: It Appears that Bulls are Unstoppable. Will this strength last for rest of Earnings Season?

4.12.23: The Next 4 Weeks will be Epic. It's Judgement Time.

4.10.23: Buying the Intraday Dip on Low Volume Returns after the Easter Weekend - But can it last?

4.5.23: The Jobs Market Is Getting Weaker. This will soon be reflected in EPS in the coming quarters.

4.3.23: Slow-Burn Melt Up Continues as Bearish Inflation Catalysts Develop In Background

3.31.23: New Bears Will Soon Capitulate. Old Bears Will Soon Re-Engage. The Real Battle Begins Soon.

3.29.23: New Bears Have Been Punished (as we thought they would be).

3.27.23: All Signs point to larger Directional moves after consolidation is finished.

3.24.23: Incredible Choppiness has overtaken markets post-FOMC to the dismay of Trend Followers

3.20.23: Markets Believe Jerome May Blink On The Interest Rates Outlook in March FOMC. Will it be right?

3.17.23: Great Danger Awaits both Bulls and Bears in pivotal Fed meeting next week.

3.15.23: We didn't believe Credit Suisse would lead to sustained Sell.

3.13.23: Several Names in Financials approach "tradable" bounce regions. Upon deeper selloffs, strong long-term investment levels start to appear in Large Cap Financials Stocks.

3.10.23: Big Sell Has Come. Better days will Come in the Future. Do not panic.

3.8.23: Big Moves will Come after Macro Data Points Are Released.

3.6.23: Apple's Goldman Upgrade Holds Up the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

3.3.23: Newly Entered Bears are Punished and Tactical New Bulls Are Rewarded as Markets Chop Back

3.1.23: Markets continue to digest the Inflation and Earnings outlook with a slight negative bias

2.27.23: After a Reset in Investor Sentiment, we enter a brief period of consolidation before the next Big Move

2.24.23: A Reset in Investor Sentiment Has Occurred, as we have patiently waited for

2.22.23: NVDA Earnings Optimism Potentially May Pause Bearish Sentiment. If it doesn't, then markets have much further to fall.

2.17.23: Bulls face their 1st Test of 2023. Will they pass it? Or is this the turning point? Next Week will be Key.

2.15.23: Global Optimism is back in full force as FTSE 100 (UK Market) hits all-time highs. Speculative U.S. Tech Continues its Advance

2.13.23: Markets Are Priced For Softer Than Expected Inflation. Will Bulls get their Wish?

2.10.23: Momentum Names Begin To Reprice Risks Ahead of U.S. CPI Inflation Report Next Week. Do not be a Sitting Duck.

2.8.22: Fed Governors begin to relay Jerome's message for him. Can markets shake this off?

2.6.23: The U.S. Dollar Index has emerged from the ashes, now confronting U.S. equity markets with a new headwind

2.3.23: Bulls wrap up a generally strong week, with a Cliff Hanger development in the end.

2.1.23: Powell give markets the Green Light for near-term speculation. Near-term is the key phrase.

1.30.23: Ruffling the Bulls' resolve (a bit) before the FOMC.

1.27.23: Bears are on the verge of throwing in the towel. Major test for the market comes next week.

1.25.23: Markets shrug off MSFT reduced guidance and V-Shape Rebound to snuff out Bears. Is this rebound durable?

1.23.23: Liquidity keeps Markets Afloat despite economic pain on the ground

1.16.22: Will Markets be able to continue their upward momentum?

1.8.23: January is off to a steady start, aligned with our expectations. Challenges come soon.