Sitemap - 2022 - Public Team Larry (Staff Analyst Team)

12.23.22: 5 More Trading Days of 2022 for the Santa Rally To Appear

12.19.22: 300 SPX Points Shaven Off since that "lighter" inflation reading. What a Trap, indeed.

12.16.22: Christmas has been Cancelled by Jerome.

12.12.22: Santa is Coming to Town to meet with Jerome to discuss who will get the lump of Coal

12.7.22: Markets digest recent reversal. Big macro data points looming in coming days and weeks ahead.

12.5.22: Today's SPX drop isn't yet the "Big One". The next big drawdown will come when folks least expect it.

12.2.22: Markets shake off hot jobs report to have weekly close above 200 Day Moving Average.

11.30.22: U.S. Markets make a tremendous rally towards our target range stated from last month's strategy report. Danger is lurking at certain levels.

11.28.22: U.S. Markets digest recent Fed Governor Commentary and Black Friday Sales Data

11.23.22: U.S. Markets approach key technical levels - S&P 500 now 1-2% away from 200 Day Moving Average

11.21.22: Shortened U.S. Trading Week means that markets will find direction after Thanksgiving

11.18.22: U.S markets see a "Balancing Week". China stocks digests Alibaba earnings.

11.16.22: NVDA Earnings Meet Buyside Expectations. U.S Markets digest recent rally.

11.14.22: U.S. Markets Consolidate and Digest recent large run-up. China Macro starts to improve.

11.11.22: U.S. Markets front-run future inflation prints. Bearish positioning is severely punished.

11.9.22: Crypto Contagion Affects Tech Sentiment. U.S. CPI Data Released Tomorrow.

11.7.22: U.S. Midterms outcomes will drive the S&P 500's next steps. China remains resilient in spite of reopening rumors officially denied.

11.4.22: The Fed's Hawkishness Now Faces Off with a Stronger S&P 500 Composition. China rallies on Zero Covid re-opening rumors.

11.2.22: Fed decides to signal that Fed Funds Rates target may be higher than previously expected at November FOMC.

10.31.22: November FOMC will set the tone this week.

10.28.22: Dow Jones Stocks Are Now Leading Markets Higher. Tech may catch up.

10.26.22: FAAMG Earnings are (so far) reflecting macro weakness. This is not a surprise. No need to panic.

10.24.22: Sharp Divergence Forming between U.S. and China equities

10.21.22: We enter the Weekend with a sigh of relief (a pause in selling). Do not worry about Snapchat earnings. Other issues are more important than Snapchat.

10.19.22: Chinese Internet goes through intensive selling after a confluence of issues arise

10.17.22: We are actively studying China's 20th Party Congress and Its Implications for the China Internet Sector (Alibaba, KWEB ETF, Tencent, etc.)

10.14.22: Tremendous Warning Was Issued by Us in Semis this past week after U.S. Export Ban

10.12.22: We believe the Auto Component within CPI will be lower either immediately or in upcoming months.

10.10.22: Earnings Season Begins. Can S&P 500 corporate earnings defend the Bulls?

10.7.22: Back to Square One for Bulls. Bears reclaim 3636 on the S&P 500.

10.5.22: Markets begin front-running next week's Inflation data.

10.3.22: We start 4th Quarter with a quick (and welcome) win for the Bulls.

9.30.22: The 3rd Quarter Has Ended. We start fresh next week.

9.28.22: A Counter-Trend Bounce has Started (as we planned for). Will it last?

9.26.22: Will there be more turbulence ahead?

9.24.22: A moment of worry for Investors has arrived. Opportunities await only Prepared investors.

9.22.22: Do not be Overly pessimistic. Late Bears may be challenged by Early Bulls soon.

9.19.22: Fixed Income is Now a Significant Competitor to Equities

9.16.22: The S&P 500 flirts with bear market territory ahead of September FOMC next week.

9.12.22: Apple carries the SPY, DIA, and QQQ on iPhone 14 optimism.

9.9.22: The S&P 500 once again surpasses its 100 Day Moving Average ahead of key inflation data next week.

9.7.22: A near-term bounce is in the cards for select companies. However, no broad rally is sustainable until the macro confirms it, in our view.

9.5.22: We wrap up Labor Day Weekend refreshed. We are ready to continue serving you well.

9.2.22: September will be a month of Opportunity. Only a select few will be in a position to take advantage of it. Be in that camp.

8.31.22: A New Month Begins Tomorrow. New Opportunities are Brewing.

8.29.22: Markets digest Jackson Hole. Semiconductors lead tech weakness.

8.26.22: Do you understand what the Fed just said at Jackson Hole?

8.24.22: China's PBOC continues to defend its economy with further easing, widening the gap between its strategy and the Central Banks of the West

8.22.22: Overextended U.S. markets find their new equilibrium ahead of Jackson Hole

8.19.22: An important Options Expiration date occurred today, potentially ending suppressed volatility.

8.17.22: The Fed Minutes Leave Investors Guessing their Next Step.

8.15.22: The S&P 500 is within .5% of its 200 Moving Day Average, a signal that is closely watched by the Buyside. Bears are getting nervous.

8.12.22: Bears are getting decimated. When will they fully capitulate?

8.10.22: Inflation Data Gives Markets a Short-Term Reason To Celebrate

8.8.22: Shall we believe the NVIDIA revenue warning or the Meme Stock rally? What is the better long-term signal?

8.5.22: Markets are priced for substantially lower inflation - we believe this is a dangerous bet.

8.3.22: An extreme push to deny the Recession Narrative via higher stock prices

8.1.22: Complacency has returned to Investor Psychology

7.29.22: Retail investors are NO longer bearish. The camp is now divided.

7.27.22: The Fed has spoken, and we think He remains Hawkish (great detail will be provided inside our Community in upcoming August research report)

7.25.22: This week sets the Tone. The coming weeks set the Direction.

7.23.22: A Sleight of Hand Has Been Played

7.20.22: In our opinion, NFLX earnings foreshadow deeper problems with the state of the Consumer

7.18.22: To understand today's market reversal, understand Gazprom's "Force Majeure" and its implications.

7.15.22: The markets look past CPI Inflation. The true test comes soon.

7.13.22: Contrarian calls for Inflation CPI to peak are starting to emerge. Should we listen?

7.11.22: Bloomberg and CNBC got everyone excited about China at local highs while we discussed caution internally.

7.8.22: Getting ready for Inflation CPI coming on July 13th

7.6.22: Fed Minutes are out. The Fed is now hyper sensitive to any data point regarding Inflation.

7.4.22: A shortened trading week ahead

7.1.22: Entering the Eye of the Storm ahead of earnings season

6.29.22: No Man's Land as we approach the July 4th Weekend

6.27.22: Use this time to plan your next move. The market is in Consolidation

6.24.22: The S&P 500 Has Bounced ~7% From the 2022 Lows (3,636)

6.22.22: Will falling oil prices finally tame inflation?

6.20.22: Getting ready for this week with S&P 500 near oversold levels