11.11.22: U.S. Markets front-run future inflation prints. Bearish positioning is severely punished.
Key U.S. and China brief market notes by Larry Cheung's Analyst Staff Team for our Public Email List
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This email is brought to you by Interactive Brokers, one of our preferred brokerages to buy HK-Listed Shares in our China Internet Equity Coverage Universe.
In our emails, we will provide the following coverage points:
Brief Snapshot of U.S. & China markets and valuation
Our Analyst Team’s Chart in Focus
U.S. & China Upcoming Economic Calendar Snapshot
Notable Chart from Media Outlets
Fear & Greed Index Recap
I hope you find this newsletter to be insightful and enjoyable! - Larry and Team
U.S and China Markets Brief Snapshot 🇺🇸 🇨🇳
(Powered by our Channel Financial Data Provider YCharts)
S&P 500 Index: 3956.37
KWEB (Chinese Internet) ETF: $22.68
Analyst Team Note:
2022’s bear market resulted in post-GFC leaders significantly lagging the S&P 500 YTD (Tech -8ppt & Cons. Disc. -14ppt) with the 2010’s laggard Energy outperforming by +80ppt. However, the top 50 stocks still represent >50% of the benchmark.
Macro Chart In Focus
Analyst Team Note:
Just before the pandemic, in the fourth quarter of 2019, American households held about $1 trillion in what was effectively cash—currency and accounts against which checks could be written. By the second quarter of this year, the amount had leapt to $4.7 trillion….
Upcoming Economic Calendar
(Powered by our Channel Financial Data Provider YCharts)
U.S Economic Calendar (Upcoming Data Points)
China Economic Calendar (Upcoming Data Points)
Analyst Team Note:
Core CPI came down from October while Food and Shelter stay hot. Regardless, consumer 5-to-10 year inflation expectations rose in October.
Chart That Caught Our Eye
Analyst Team Note:
Massive contagion effect for the “decentralized” world of crypto…
Sentiment Check
We want to take a moment to thank Interactive Brokers for being one of our Channel’s trusted Partners and to inform my audience of the special features they have given that our online friends here closely follow Chinese Internet stocks (BABA/Tencent).
Much of Larry’s audience is concerned about the US ADR issue of Chinese Stocks being delisted.
Interactive brokers allows investors to buy HK-listed shares of Alibaba, JD, Tencent, and other brand name Chinese Internet companies on the HK market. This will effectively reduce any confusion or work you will have to do in case there is the event of delisting US ADRs
Make sure to check Larry’s most recent market updates via his personal newsletter. See you in our next update.